The European Commission is collecting evidence to come up with solutions for unintended effects of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) on renewable electricity in the Western Balkans, Director of the Energy Community Secretariat Artur Lorkowski pointed out in an interview with Balkan Green Energy News, as one of the most important developments in the sector. Boosting renewable energy development and trade with third countries such as the Western Balkans was supposed to be accelerated by the European Union’s CO2 import tax.

To reduce the payment obligations of EU importers under CBAM, the contracting parties in the region are planning carbon pricing systems, but under different models. The ultimate goal is eventually joining the EU Emissions Trading System, implying the need for coordination and cooperation between the governments in the process, Lorkowski stressed.

Looking back twenty years since the Energy Community Treaty was signed, it proved to be a successful format of cooperation, the Energy Community Secretariat Director Artur Lorkowski said. On the occasion of the anniversary, Balkan Green Energy News sat down with the head of the international organization to speak about the achievements and benefits for the contracting parties, and the remaining milestones that the Western Balkans need to reach in order to integrate with the EU’s energy union.

“Economic growth depends on energy security and fair pricing. There is visible progress in transformation, clearly seen from the 2024 figures. And the final element is the accelerated energy market integration with the EU, and this is what we can be really proud of,” Lorkowski asserted.

Among the segments with tangible improvements, he also highlighted the convergence on the wholesale gas and electricity markets. It is facilitating competitiveness in the Energy Community, the secretariat’s chief added.

Renewables capacity doubled in four years

Fossil fuels used to account for 60% of electricity production in the contracting parties five years ago, compared to 50% now, Lorkowski noted. The significant results in renewables except for large hydro are illustrated by the fact that the overall capacity in the segment has more than doubled between 2020 and 2024, he stressed. More importantly, the carbon footprint – the CO2 emissions per unit of the nominal gross domestic product, fell 11% last year alone.

CO2 emissions per unit of the nominal GDP fell 11% last year in the Energy Community

As for EU integration, electricity market coupling is progressing very well, as a good example, in Lorkowski’s view. The legislation is mostly aligned, so most countries are just waiting for the process to be concluded, the director of the Energy Community Secretariat explained.

“There are operating wholesale markets everywhere in the Western Balkans except in Bosnia and Herzegovina, which is about to adopt the required law. Serbia is at the forefront of that process. North Macedonia and Montenegro are very close, with small elements yet to be achieved. It is a non-reversible point, point of no return on a path towards EU integration,” Lorkowski said. He recalled that when capacity calculations regions (CCRs), operationalization and verification are cleared from the to-do list, it would take 18 months to join the EU’s market coupling project.

Electricity can be exempted from CBAM at later stage

Energy Community contracting parties may become eligible for exemption until 2030 from CBAM in electricity, if they meet the CBAM requirements. However, the EU is starting to charge the CO2 import tax already on January 1.

“I wish the contracting parties followed my messages from the Belgrade Energy Forum in 2023, because you might remember me saying that CBAM is coming and we have to prepare for that. But unfortunately, we have observed a lot of delays and hiccups in the preparatory process. Fair enough, this is the reality we have to face now – no country of the Energy Community will be exempted on 1 January 2026. But we can still work to be exempted at a later stage,” Lorkowski underscored.

European Commission expected to clarify rules by end of year

The second part of the story is that CBAM, in addition to its intended impacts, especially on coal power, also has unintended impacts, Lorkowski explained. For example, electricity transit between EU member states through the contracting parties, in practice, may also be subject to the tax, even if it was not intended by the European legislators.

CBAM was intended to provide equal treatment for products produced inside and outside the EU when it comes to carbon payments. “Renewable energy, not being subject to the EU ETS, would – logically – not need to be subject to CBAM, but with the current rules, even EU off-takers with cross-border power purchase agreements (PPAs) may still be subject to payment obligations, as the implementing rules remain overly complex, effectively treating them in the same way as fossil fuel importers. These are real problems that stakeholders have been raising with us in our targeted outreach to power companies, traders, and other stakeholders both from the EU and Energy Community,” Lorkowski added.

Legislative efforts to further improve trade in renewables with the EU continue under the Energy Community

The Energy Community Ministerial Council reported it in Athens to the European Commission and asked it to find a solution.

Lorkowski said he expects the EU’s top executive body to soon issue implementing and delegated acts, by the end of 2025, clarifying the CBAM implementation rules, and to follow it up in 2026 with a targeted amendment proposal on electricity.

Legislative efforts to further improve trade in renewables with the EU continue under the Energy Community. “The European Commission has presented to the contracting parties a draft decision on the mutual recognition of guarantees of origin and is now awaiting their feedback. I hope that in 2026 we can have a decision. But it does not mean that the guarantees of origin can be used as the currency for paying the CBAM fee. That would require amending the CBAM legislation,” he stated.

Carbon pricing systems need to evolve toward matching EU ETS

For a potential reduction of CBAM payments in other areas as well – iron and steel, aluminum, fertilizers, cement and hydrogen – third countries need to introduce carbon pricing systems. Serbia recently drafted legislation for a CO2 tax and for a tax on imports of carbon-intensive products. It is a good step forward, according to Lorkowski.

“We expect each and every country to make a decision on the carbon pricing. All of the countries of the Energy Community, with the exception of Kosovo*, have communicated to the secretariat which model they will implement. And the models vary: from Serbia’s carbon tax to a domestic emissions trading system of Montenegro, which is already in place,” he revealed.

There is no uniform carbon pricing model for the Energy Community

Namely, the Energy Community Ministerial Council decided not to implement a uniform regional carbon pricing mechanism but opted for individual models. They should all be built with the perspective of aligning eventually with the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), Lorkowski said.

“The key challenge now for the Energy Community is how to maintain the integrity of the electricity market between the contracting parties and the European Union after CBAM enters its definitive phase from next January. We need to figure out how to coordinate among the systems. It implies not only the existence of the domestic carbon markets, but also the cooperation within the region,” he pointed out.

Ministerial Council to announce way forward on carbon pricing coordination

The Ministerial Council is due to conclude on carbon pricing at its regular annual meeting in December, Lorkowski said.

“The three critical elements are how much the CO2 will cost, who will pay – which businesses and sectors are in scope – and when those carbon pricing systems will be introduced. They need to maintain the integrity of the market, the level playing field of the market, and avoid market distortions,” the top Energy Community official added.

Practical policies more important than coal phaseout dates alone

Turning to the coal phaseout, essential for the decarbonization of the economy, Lorkowski acknowledged the significance of political declarations such as the Sofia Declaration and commitments from the national energy and climate plans (NECPs).

“That said, it is critically important to anchor the actions for the future with practical policies. The decisions on the establishment of carbon pricing mechanisms are even more important. In addition, we should focus on monitoring, reporting and verification – MRV systems. The contracting parties need to identify emitters and measure quantities,” the director of the Energy Community Secretariat underscored.