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European Commission proposes easing 2035 car emissions rules

The European Commission has proposed a new Automotive Package that aims to give carmakers greater flexibility in meeting emissions reduction requirements. The new rules would lower the emissions cut target from 100% to 90%, allowing the sale of hybrid and internal combustion vehicles after 2035.

From 2035 onwards, carmakers will need to comply with a 90% emissions reduction target, while the remaining 10% emissions will need to be compensated through the use of low-carbon steel produced in the European Union, or from e-fuels and biofuels, according to a press release from the commission.

“This will allow for plug-in hybrids (PHEV), range extenders, mild hybrids, and internal combustion engine vehicles to still play a role beyond 2035, in addition to full electric (EVs) and hydrogen vehicles,” reads the announcement.

Carmakers will be incentivized to produce affordable EVs

The commission is also proposing “super credits” to incentivize carmakers to produce small, affordable electric cars made in the European Union. This measure would be in place until 2035.

Hoekstra: The EU is staying the course towards zero-emissions mobility

European Climate Action Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra has said the EU is staying the course towards zero-emissions mobility, but introducing some flexibilities for manufacturers to meet their CO2 targets in the most cost-efficient way.

The move comes amid pressure from car manufacturers, who claim their business is threatened by competition from China and the United States, according to reports.

The move comes amid pressure from European carmakers

Several EU member states – Germany, Italy, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia – say their automakers are struggling with high energy prices, a shortage of components, including batteries, and weak demand for electric vehicles.

The proposal includes a EUR 1.8 billion package to help develop a fully EU-made battery value chain and tackle competition from outside the bloc. As part of the accompanying Battery Booster package, EUR 1.5 billion will be disbursed in interest-free loans to European battery manufacturers, according to the press release.

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EU simplifying CBAM exemption for electricity, improving emissions calculation

The European Union is further simplifying the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), but with stricter oversight and an extension to 180 steel- and aluminium-intensive downstream products. From January 1, importers of designated goods and commodities will be paying the emissions tax.

Among the novelties, countries in the Energy Community that transposed the relevant EU regulations are getting an opportunity for exemptions for CBAM for electricity earlier than initially planned. The new legislation is tackling the hurdles for electricity transit as well. The calculation of emissions on national levels in the same sector is becoming more favorable for the payers of the cross-border CO2 tax. There is even a possibility, in theory for now, to declare the actual emissions level, which would suit renewable energy producers.

In response to feedback from industrial producers and other stakeholders, the European Commission proposed measures to prevent circumvention of CBAM and strengthen its efficacy. The next step is to expand it to 180 manufactured products with high steel or aluminum content, 79% on average. The list mostly consists of machinery and hardware, and 6% of the items are household appliances.

From January 1, importers will be paying a carbon price within the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, which is tied to the Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). It concerns aluminum, cement, electricity, iron and steel, hydrogen and fertilizers, and the expenses will spill over to their suppliers in third countries such as the Western Balkans and Turkey.

The charge for downstream products is planned to be rolled out in January 2028.

Striving for level playing field

The system gradually levels the field, by the beginning 2034, with producers of the same goods and commodities in the EU. The measures are introduced in the form of delegated and implementing acts. They enter into force if other institutions responsible for them, like the European Parliament, don’t block them.

Hoekstra: Our system was too broad, too clunky and had too many loopholes.

“CBAM makes sure there is a level playing field – that we’re not asking anything more, or asking anything less for those goods that come into the EU. And in doing so, we’re rewarding investments in low carbon… We’re not going to ask anything more from others, than we’re asking from ourselves. During the CBAM transition period, we learned important lessons. Our system was too broad, too clunky and had too many loopholes,” said European Commissioner for Climate, Net Zero and Clean Growth Wopke Hoekstra.

Thoroughly against evasion

The tax level is envisaged to be proportional to an established quantity of greenhouse gases released in production. However, if the authorities notice attempts to evade the levy, they can make the process of providing evidence stricter and, in the meantime, switch to a charge under the emissions factor of the particular country of origin.

“If I had to summarize these points in a few words, I would say: a simpler CBAM, more robust in its application, and fairer in its scope,” said the European Commission’s Executive Vice-President for Prosperity and Industrial Strategy Stéphane Séjourné.

Shortcut to exemption from CBAM for electricity

One of the measures is intended for easing the administrative burden for countries in the process of electricity market coupling with the EU, namely the Energy Community contracting parties.

There is going to be a possibility to sign an MoU with the European Commission with a detailed schedule

The commission may sign a memorandum of understanding with a third country, once the commission has assessed that the country has fully transposed the electricity market acquis, the proposal reads. The document would lay down details on the timeline for the CBAM exemption, including in relation to technical work still to be carried out between transmission system operators (TSOs), and for implementing a carbon pricing instrument equivalent to the EU ETS as far as electricity generation is concerned.

Hoekstra said technical adjustments to CBAM would be made to facilitate market coupling when the relevant countries are ready.

Import tax for electricity from Energy Community to be 30% lower on average

Stakeholder feedback and the experience with the implementation of CBAM during the transitional period – before the actual charge – demonstrated that the rules for electricity imports are overly rigid, the European commissioners added. In particular, they ascertained that progress in decarbonizing electricity production isn’t sufficiently acknowledged or encouraged.

Unlike with the goods, for electricity there is a default country-specific emissions value. It is based on production from fossil fuels and a five-year average. Coal is mostly dominant in the Western Balkans, except for Albania, which has a completely green mix. In addition, the conditions which must be met to declare actual emissions of electricity have proven to be almost impossible.

The proposed package is introducing solutions for electricity transit and cross-border PPAs

In the new setting, the national value will reflect the carbon intensity of all sources of electricity. The estimated taxes in the Energy Community would be over 30% lower on average.

The procedure is being streamlined for declaring actual emissions. On the other hand, at least in the Western Balkans, there has been almost no progress in that area. The proposed package is also introducing solutions for the hurdles in electricity transit through Energy Community Contracting Parties and cross-border power purchase agreements (PPAs).

Power imports from the Western Balkans account for 1% of the EU’s demand, but their share in Croatia, Bulgaria and Greece is significant, the European Commission explained. Importantly, exports of electricity to the EU represent some 58% of Montenegro’s exports to the EU, compared to 5% for Serbia and Albania.

Funds for maintaining competitiveness of domestic industrial producers in third countries

A fund has been launched to temporarily support EU producers of CBAM goods and mitigate carbon leakage risks. It addresses the competitiveness loss in third-country markets with a weaker climate policy and lower costs. Potential beneficiaries will have to demonstrate decarbonization efforts.

Th European commission is also preparing proposals for limiting scrap aluminum exports and using more scrap metal. Furthermore, it said pre-consumer metals scrap, from manufacturing, would come under CBAM.

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EU waters down its 2040 climate target in runup to COP30 in Brazil

The Council of the European Union upheld the proposed 90% emissions cut target for 2040 ahead of the United Nations Climate Change Conference COP30 in Brazil, but with substantial workaround possibilities. In addition, the environment ministers failed to define the 2035 ambition, leaving the desired reduction in the amount of released greenhouse gases in a range of 66.25% to 72.5%.

Faced with declining competitiveness due to high energy prices and its strict climate and environmental standards, the EU is loosening its decarbonization goal. Following a marathon session in Brussels, the so-called Environment Council kept the desired greenhouse gas emissions reduction by 2040 at 90%, against the 1990 level, to take it to the COP30 event in Belém, Brazil. However, the competent ministers making up the body allowed several important flexibilities to avoid a last-minute stalemate.

Namely, the Council of the EU approved an updated nationally determined contribution (NDC) of the 27-member bloc and individual states to submit it at the Conference of the Parties of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Political leaders are gathering tomorrow, while COP30 formally lasts from November 10 to 21.

Following the 2020 NDC and its 2023 update, the new one covers the period up to 2035.

Outsourcing climate improvements instead of domestic decarbonization

On the path to eliminating net emissions by 2050, the EU is sticking with its nominal 2040 goal. On the other hand, in the latest version, the environment ministers allow “an adequate contribution of high-quality international credits in a manner that is both ambitious and cost-efficient.”

In particular, five percentage points of the 90% can be met via emission cuts promised outside the EU, and governments would be allowed to outsource a further five points, Greenpeace warned. It means they would buy carbon credits abroad as offsets.

EU is counting on purchases of other countries’ carbon credits for offsets

“The European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change [ESABCC] had called for emissions cuts of 90%-95% by 2040, and had stressed that this target must be for domestic reductions to climate pollution, not cuts outsourced to other countries. Environment ministers also agreed that the European Commission should reopen and water down the climate target in the case of high energy prices, a perceived negative economic impact or in light of technological advances. To reach a deal with reluctant countries, ministers also agreed to delay the start of the EU’s carbon market for pollution from cars and heating systems, extend pollution permits for heavy industry and exempt some ‘low-carbon’ fuels under the internal combustion engine phaseout,” the organization added.

The carbon market in question is the planned Emissions Trading System 2 (EU ETS 2). The Environment Council proposed to delay its establishment by a year, until 2028, and work on measures for a smooth launch.

“According to the ESABCC, only 16% of offsets have delivered genuine emissions reductions. But if they were high-quality offsets, they would be costly, and relying on them would divert investment from transforming the EU’s own industries, economy, and workers,” World Wide Fund For Nature (WWF) pointed out.

Indicative range for 2035 goal entirely below required efforts

The protracted discussions between the EU’s national governments also delayed the announcement of the EU’s indicative climate target for 2035, under the Paris Agreement. It is supposed to be submitted at the UN Climate Change Conference COP30.

“Ministers failed to agree a firm 2035 target, instead keeping a previously agreed range of 66.25% to 72.5% emission cuts, even the upper end of which is inconsistent with a credible pathway to the proposed 90% cut for five years later, undermining the EU’s position as a climate leader at COP30,” Greenpeace stressed.

Climate-competitiveness-independence tradeoff

The European Parliament’s Committee on Environment, Public Health and Food Safety (ENVI) is expected to discuss the matter soon. After a plenary vote, the institution would negotiate with the Council of the EU and European Commission.

“We need climate, competitiveness and independence. All three are crucial and going forward we need to ensure that one doesn’t come at the expense of the other. This morning, the environment and climate ministers of all member states reached a pragmatic, ambitious deal which ensures that,” said European Commissioner for Climate, Net-Zero and Clean Growth Wopke Hoekstra.