April 23, 2025
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Italy mulls keeping its last coal plants on standby

After retiring the two remaining mainland coal power plants, scheduled for this year, Italy’s government intends to switch the facilities to standby instead of dismantling them. Two others are on the island of Sardinia, which is waiting for another subsea interconnection to complete the coal phaseout.

Italy has 4.7 GW in coal power capacity left, following the recent retirement of A2A’s plant in Monfalcone, on the border with Slovenia. The two facilities that remained on the mainland are only marginally active and they are officially set to be closed this year. However, Minister of the Environment and Energy Security Gilberto Pichetto Fratin expressed the belief that they should be kept on standby.

“Therefore, not producing, because it is not economically suitable. But the geopolitics are still in a state where no one can guarantee us that gas will not reach EUR 70 per MWh or that there will be no malfunctions in the pipelines that supply us,” he argued. The said facilities, already dormant as they are not cost-effective, should be kept just in case, in the view of the minister. He didn’t address the pollution issue.

Provisional data showed that coal power output nosedived 71% in 2024 to 3.5 TWh. It translated to a share of 1.3% in electricity production and 1.1% in consumption.

On the one hand, the capacities would be valuable in case of gas and power supply disturbances. But it comes at the cost of maintaining a complex system idle.

Sardinia may remain dependent on coal by 2029

The two mainland coal plants are Enel’s Torrevaldaliga Nord in Civitavecchia and Brindisi Sud.

There are two more, in Sardinia, scheduled to be phased out by January 2029. By then, the island’s interconnection with the main grid should be strengthened with the proposed Tyrrhenian Link. The Sulcis coal plant is also Enel’s, and the other one is EP Produzione’s Fiume Santo power plant. Together, they have 1.1 GW in nominal capacity.

Speaking at the same event, Chief Executive Officer of Enel Flavio Cattaneo warned of the expected surge in power consumption, suggesting the coal exit be reconsidered. The “perfectly functioning” plants, which “saved” Italy during the gas crisis, will be closed by August, he stressed. The company is open to selling its coal assets, Cattaneo said and hinted at the possibility that the government buys them.

AI, data centers bolstering demand for nuclear energy, gas, coal

Eni’s CEO Claudio Descalzi said it was “pure madness” to close coal-fired power plants “in a situation of high costs or low energy availability.” He cited the rise of artificial intelligence and data centers, boosting energy demand, and the need to keep costs low. “It is only possible with nuclear, gas and coal,” Descalzi claimed.

Closing coal plants is not in the country’s interest, said Deputy Prime Minister of Italy and Minister of Infrastructure and Transport Matteo Salvini.

A group of environmental organizations called it unacceptable in 2025 to propose coal to be part of the energy mix.

Italy is no longer buying Russian gas

Minister Pichetto Fratin also said Italy has stopped buying gas from Russia at the end of last year. It turned to alternatives like liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States, he added.

The country needs to rapidly deploy renewables, in his view, and decouple the prices of electricity and gas. Pichetto Fratin said gas accounts for 40% of power but that it determines 70% of the final price, and criticized the pricing system based on the Netherlands’ TTF benchmark.

The government is considering support for long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) and contracts for difference (CfD), to stabilize prices and become competitive with Germany. It is also the European Union’s policy, under the latest electricity market redesign.

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April 16, 2025
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Aurora forecasts Western Balkans power capacity growth of 20 GW by 2040

The Western Balkans could see a 20 GW increase in installed capacity by 2040, with nearly 65% coming from renewables, Aurora Energy Research found. Short-term volatility and increased costs of commodities are expected to keep electricity prices near or over EUR 100 per MWh until 2030.

Aurora Energy Research issued its first forecast for the Western Balkans, eyeing investor movement. The firm expanded its market forecasting services, now offering full granularity modeling for Albania, Kosovo*, North Macedonia, Montenegro and Bosnia and Herzegovina, available in its Western Balkans Power and Renewables Market Forecast.

The announcement follows the conclusion of a multiclient study comprising three workshops, the results of which reveal increased investor interest in the region.

Photovoltaics have the fastest growth rate and biggest capacity in the forecast

The combined installed capacity in the Western Balkans excluding Serbia is expected to grow by 20 GW by 2040 and by as much as 35 GW by 2060 from the current levels, leading to tens of billions in investments, Aurora said. Renewables account for the lion’s share with nearly 65% while battery energy storage systems (BESS), interconnectors and hydrogen-fired combined-cycle gas turbines (CCGT) make up the remaining capacity additions.

Solar power shows the fastest rate of growth and absolute capacity value, according to the global power market analytics provider.

Electricity market prices returning below EUR 100 per MWh only after 2030

Looking into wholesale prices, the analysis expects the Western Balkans to follow similar trends as other SEE markets but with regional nuances, based on the local energy system evolution. Short-term volatility and increased commodities are foreseen to keep prices near or over the EUR 100 per MWh mark until 2030 while long-term baseload prices under Aurora’s central scenario are expected at between EUR 70 per MWh and EUR 80 per MWh, driven by high commodity prices, while an increasing renewables’ penetration acts in the opposite direction.

Early movers have an advantage as cannibalization looms

Renewable energy assets capture prices will benefit from lower cannibalization levels in the early years compared to other SEE countries, as there is less capacity in the system, giving early movers an advantage, the analysis reads. Over time, the momentum for storage seen in SEE likely spreads to the Western Balkans.

Coal phaseout seen by 2045

The speed of decarbonization in the region largely depends on the implementation of the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) or alignment with the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). The shift away from lignite could take time, Aurora’s experts say, with a full exit expected by 2045, but its share in the power system is expected to decrease significantly in the next decade due to pressure from CBAM and carbon taxes.

“The Western Balkans are Europe’s most rapidly changing power markets. Ageing thermal fleets, liberalisation of markets, policy support schemes, and strong fundamental economics are poised to bring the Western Balkans at the forefront of developers’ agendas,” said Panos Kefalas, Research Lead at Aurora Energy Research.

The Western Balkans Power and Renewables Market Forecast provides in-depth insights, detailed market analysis, and data-driven projections for investors, developers, and stakeholders.

Established in 2013, Aurora Energy Research provides power market forecasting and analytics for investment and financing decisions. Headquartered in Oxford, it operates out of 16 offices worldwide covering Europe, North and South America, Asia, and Australia. The firm’s services include market outlook for energy industry participants, advisory support, and software solutions.

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* This designation is without prejudice to positions onstatus and is in line with UNSCR 1244/99 and the ICJ Opinion on the Kosovo declaration of independence.
April 9, 2025
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Turkey pushing against rivals for transmission of green electricity to EU

Turkey’s agreement with Azerbaijan, Georgia and Bulgaria on the transmission of renewable electricity could set back the project for an interconnector under the Black Sea between Georgia and Romania. In addition, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s government fiercely opposes the Great Sea Interconnector project, part of the proposed Greece-Cyprus-Israel submarine link. Turkey is also pushing against rival hydrocarbon projects around Cyprus.

On the margins of the Southern Gas Corridor (SGC) annual meeting, a regional green energy project has come to the fore. Ministers of energy of Turkey, Bulgaria, Georgia and Azerbaijan, the host country, signed a memorandum of understanding on green electricity transmission and trade. The initiative envisages the establishment of a green energy corridor toward Europe.

The proposal for a power interconnections upgrade is an apparent competitor against a project by Romania, Georgia, Azerbaijan and Hungary. They plan to lay a high-voltage direct current (HVDC) cable under the Black Sea. Bulgaria does have a seat at the table, but even after several meetings it still hasn’t become a partner in the GECO submarine link project. The alternative onshore line through Turkey would give it a central role.

Bulgaria, which has been waiting to become a partner in the Black Sea submarine interconnection project, would get a central role in an onshore power transmission corridor that would go through Turkey

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s government is determined to establish the key transmission and production hub for electricity and fossil fuels for the European Union. The new memorandum is another indicator, together with Turkey’s fierce opposition to the Great Sea Interconnector project, which is part of a proposed Greece-Cyprus-Israel submarine power link, and to hydrocarbon drilling around Cyprus.

Turkey also benefits from the TurkStream pipeline, which carries gas from Russia. It was built instead of the abandoned South Stream project, which was supposed to directly connect Russia and Bulgaria.

Studies to be commissioned by June

Turkish Minister of Energy and Natural Resources Alparslan Bayraktar said electricity from Azerbaijan and the region would reach his country via Georgia as well as Azerbaijan’s exclave of Nakhchivan. It means a line would go through Armenia.

The four energy ministers said a working group would complete the technical details and commission feasibility studies already by June.

Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said his country would add 6.5 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030, compared to the current 8 GW, from all sources. One of the biggest private investors is Abu Dhabi Future Energy Co. (Masdar).

TANAP’s capacity to be doubled

Turkey is diversifying its energy supply, Bayraktar noted. “Our natural gas imports from Turkmenistan, which started on March 1, are an important step towards the goal of securing our own supply while also carrying Central Asian energy to European markets,” he stated.

The minister highlighted the goal to increase the capacity of the Trans Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline (TANAP), part of the Southern Gas Corridor, to 31 billion cubic meters per year from 16 billion.

Tensions rising as seabed survey for Great Sea Interconnector to resume

The NG Worker vessel is returning to carry out seabed surveys east of Greece’s Kasos-Karpathos island area, Energypress reported. The activity, part of the Great Sea Interconnector, was interrupted again in February after a Turkish corvette approached the ships NG Worker and Ievoli Relume.

After research was completed in the territorial waters of Greece and Cyprus, the last section is in international waters. Türkiye Gazetesi learned from security sources that Turkey wouldn’t allow “such a fait accompli.” The unnamed sources said the seabed survey is a breach of international law.

The power link project has also faced delays due to disputes around financing and it still risks losing a massive EU funding package. Turkey is promoting the idea of a cable connecting Cyprus to its own electricity transmission network instead.

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April 7, 2025
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PPC plans EUR 5.8 billion makeover of Western Macedonia coal region, including data centers

Public Power Corp. (PPC) presented a EUR 5.8 billion investment plan for the coal region of Western Macedonia in northern Greece. It held the ceremony in the retired Kardia 2 lignite-fired power plant.

According to PPC’s chairman and CEO George Stassis, the endeavor consists of the decommissioning of old assets and the rollout of new energy technologies.

Stassis: Western Macedonia can reinvent itself

PPC, or DEI in Greek, said it would return to the government 8,000 hectares of coal land that it no longer needs, after completely restoring it. All equipment, such as 400 kilometers of lignite conveyor belts, cooling towers and excavators, are planned to be recycled up to 95%.

According to the decarbonization timeframe, Ptolemaida 5 will be the last coal plant in the country, continuing to operate until the end of 2026. It is set to be converted to a gas power plant with a capacity of 350 MW. PPC is also open to upgrading it to 500 MW or even 1 GW.

New photovoltaics, storage underway

“Western Macedonia can reinvent itself using new technology,” said the CEO.

The group aims to install a total of 2.1 GW in photovoltaics across the region. A 550 MW solar power plant in the former lignite mine of Ptolemaida is almost complete. It will be the biggest in the Balkans. Separately, a group of clusters of 940 MW is under construction within the Meton joint venture with German RWE.

Energy storage is another major segment in PPC’s investment plan. Within the next three years, it aims to funnel EUR 940 million for a total capacity of 860 MW. It includes two pumped storage hydropower projects. The one in Kardia is for 320 MW and an eight-hour storage duration, and the other in the South Lignite Field – 240 MW and a 12-hour duration. The projects are worth EUR 430 million and EUR 310 million, respectively.

Equally important, battery storage units of 300 MW altogether would be installed in Amyndaio, Akrini, Meliti and Kardia in the country’s main coal region. The other one is Megalopolis in the Peloponnese.

PPC plans a 50 MW hydrogen production facility together with Motor Oil, as Hellenic Hydrogen, and a cogeneration plant to cover district heating needs from the end of 2026.

Large 300 MW data center

Last but not least, the Greek group aims to create a 300 MW data center, as part of an investment of EUR 2.3 billion. A subsidiary in fiber optic cables would upgrade the telecommunication links with Thessaloniki and Igoumenitsa to improve data flow in Greece and abroad.

If conditions are favorable, PPC would further upgrade the data center to 1 GW, increasing its investment by EUR 5.4 billion.

Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said at the event that existing infrastructure in Western Macedonia is a great advantage.

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April 6, 2025
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Alexandroupolis LNG Terminal to remain out of service at least until end-March

On the day when it was supposed to get the Alexandroupolis LNG Terminal in Greece back online, its operator Gastrade extended the outage by another month. The company never revealed the details of the malfunction.

Just as gas storage in the European Union slipped below 40% of capacity, the operator of the Alexandroupolis LNG Terminal substantially pushed back the target date of restarting operations. Located offshore northeastern Greece, the facility has major potential for boosting the market in other Southeastern European countries and providing ample supply.

After several shorter delays, Gastrade extended the outage by another month, until March 31. On January 23 it reported a technical issue. Then it announced that a limited regasification service would be available, but there were virtually no gas flows for a few days. On January 28, the company declared that the liquefied natural gas facility went offline.

Gastrade was supposed to bring Europe’s newest LNG terminal back to service on February 28. Instead, it prolonged the outage for a whole month that day, fueling concerns about the severity of the malfunction and speculation about the cause.

Operators association Gas Infrastructure Europe and the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Gas (ENTSOG) noted the update.

Capacity utilization of Alexandroupolis LNG Terminal was relatively low

Put into commercial operation at the beginning of October, the facility could regasify LNG to as much as 5.5 billion cubic meters per year. The capacity of the floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU), the LNG ship, is 153,500 cubic meters.

Gastrade’s update fueled concerns about the severity of the malfunction and speculation about the cause.

Importantly, the Alexandroupolis LNG terminal has only a handful of contracts. It means the controversial breakdown doesn’t directly jeopardize gas supply in the Balkans much. In addition, Bulgaria’s Bulgargaz secured a replacement from Turkey.

Founding shareholder Elmina Copelouzou, LNG carrier fleet owner and operator GasLog, DEPA Commercial, Bulgartransgaz and Greece’s National Natural Gas System Operator (DESFA) all control 20% each in the joint venture in Alexandroupolis.

Discussions are underway in the European Union to cut back the obligatory 90% gas storage level, on November 1 each year, to 80%. The measure obviously wouldn’t help next winter’s security of supply, but there would be less demand and upward pressure on prices.

Balkan Stream pipeline is currently only direct route for Russian gas

Just before the Alexandroupolis LNG Terminal crashed, an outage at Azerbaijan’s Shah Deniz gas field disrupted the deliveries to Europe through the Southern Gas Corridor, toward the Trans Adriatic Pipeline – TAP.

Ukraine declined to renew a contract with Russia, halting the flow of gas to Central Europe at the beginning of the year. The TurkStream and Balkan Stream pipelines remained the only direct and operating route for Russian gas.

Serbia, Hungary, Bosnia and Herzegovina and North Macedonia are counting on the Alexandroupolis LNG Terminal, the new interconnectors between Greece and Bulgaria (IGB) and Bulgaria and Serbia as well as on deliveries of gas from Azerbaijan. In addition, there are plans for gas pipelines connecting North Macedonia with Greece and Serbia.

Serbia and Romania intend to build a gas link of 1.6 billion cubic meters in annual capacity. Minister of Energy Sebastian Burduja said last year that Romania has become the biggest natural gas producer in the European Union. Moreover, its Neptun Deep offshore field is due to come online in 2027.

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April 3, 2025
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Bulgaria aims to make Europe’s biggest energy community

The Ministry of Energy, Electricity System Operator (ESO) and the Bulgarian Development Bank (BDB) are launching a solar power program for municipalities, schools, kindergartens, hospitals and small businesses. There are no upfront costs and the installations become the beneficiary’s ownership within eight years.

Minister Zhecho Stankov said the goal is to create the largest energy community in Europe and hinted that the government would finance the scheme with a green bond. He also declared the start of the regional Vertical Gas Corridor project in Bulgaria as the first pipes were delivered.

Every school and hospital in Bulgaria can become an electricity producer, Minister of Energy Zhecho Stankov stressed as he presented a financial support mechanism designed with the ambition to create the largest energy community in Europe. The model will benefit both the public sector and private business, he pointed out in the port city of Burgas at a ceremony marking the arrival of the first 4,000 pipes for the Bulgarian sections of the regional Vertical Gas Corridor.

The joint initiative with the country’s power transmission system operator ESO and the Bulgarian Development Bank is for the installation of solar panels with no upfront costs. Beneficiaries – municipalities, schools, kindergartens, hospitals and small businesses – would pay through energy savings and become owners in six to eight years, Stankov claimed.

Bulgaria mulls issuing green bond to finance sustainable energy

The minister also said the project could lead to the government’s first green bond to finance clean and locally produced energy available to a wide range of consumers.

For example, Burgas Municipality can equip all schools, hospitals, kindergartens and other facilities with photovoltaic panels without spending a penny from the local budget, Stankov explained.

Government to invest EUR 57 million in Vertical Gas Corridor

The Vertical Gas Corridor is envisaged to connect Greece, Bulgaria, Romania, Moldova and Ukraine. They plan to transport the fuel from liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals Alexandroupolis and Revithoussa in Greece, and from the Caspian region, via the Southern Gas Corridor.

The government is fully funding the first stage of the project on Bulgarian territory, with EUR 57 million. The pipes for the pipelines came from India.

Stankov: Bulgaria will never again be left without natural gas

“Bulgaria will never again be left without natural gas,” said Minister Stankov. The capacity of the line between Kulata, on the border with Greece, and Kresna will be increased to 3.6 billion cubic meters per year from 2.3 billion, he added. The distance is 48.5 kilometers.

The most difficult part is between Mikrevo and Ribnik, where three kilometers will be built by horizontal drilling, the minister revealed. He explained there would be no aboveground work, so that nature and infrastructure wouldn’t be affected.

Another section, 80 kilometers, is from Rupcha to Vetrino. The purpose of the investment is to double the maximum annual flow toward Romania to 10 billion cubic meters, Stankov stressed. The last one, Tarnik-Piperovo, is 51 kilometers long.

The compressors on the corridor are reversible, allowing gas supply in both directions, the minister noted.

October 5, 2015
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Oil, gas exploration dominates Albania’s foreign investments

Bankers_0215TIRANA: Oil and gas exploration has dominated Albania’s foreign investments, the Bank of Albania said on Saturday.

In early 2014, the extracting industry accounted for about 58 percent of Albania’s total foreign investments with an amount of 504 million euros ($564.88 million). However, it dropped 14 percent compared to 2013, yet still remained dominant in the foreign investments market. Albania’s biggest foreign investor Bankers Petroleum Canadian Company caused the increase of its foreign investments in oil and gas exploration this year. Telecommunication ranks the second in Albania’s foreign investments, which reached 122 million euros ($136.74 million) in 2014, accounting for about 13 percent of Albania’s total foreign investments, according to the Bank of Albania. Albania’s foreign investments also involve energy and real estate, with 8.5 percent of total foreign investments respectively. The Albanian government is providing investors with incentives and facilities, trying to encourage energy investments, which it believes has a high potential.  Canada is currently reported as the biggest investor in Albania with an investment of about 400 million euros ($448.32 million), followed by Greece with 118 million euros ($132.25 million) in the communication sector. Other foreign investors include the Netherlands, Switzerland, Turkey and Italy.