Albania’s Energy Sector: Key 2025 Insights and Outlook

Albania’s energy sector in 2025 remains dominated by hydro and oil, but undergoing rapid change. Gross available energy (supply) in 2023 was 2,234 ktoe, against primary production of 1,799 ktoe. Imported oil and electricity cover the gap: the country needs roughly 4–5 TWh of net imports annually. In 2023 final energy consumption was 1,942 ktoe (down 2.8% year-on-year), with industry (~27%), residential (~34%), transport (~22%), services (~11%) and other sectors (~6%) each accounting for a share. Albania’s energy intensity remains fairly low – roughly 0.17 ktoe per million EUR of GDP (–4.0% in 2023) – reflecting both efficiency gains and a modest economic base.

Infrastructure investments are focused on grid upgrades and new pipelines. Two major 400 kV transmission projects are planned or underway: closing the internal 400 kV ring and building a 400 kV Albania–Kosovo* interconnector (both under WBIF support). The long-delayed Elbasan–Bitola 400 kV line (a 2018 Energy Community project of common interest) still awaits completion. On gas, Albania currently has no domestic market – it consumes virtually no pipeline gas today – but this will change. A Fier exit point on the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) is under construction (targeted commissioning October 2027), and a planned Fier–Vlora feeder line is in planning. Meanwhile a new Korça gasification scheme (Azerbaijani Azeri gas via TAP) was agreed in November 2024, aiming to extend distribution into eastern Albania. These gas projects could underpin future power and industrial expansion.

2023 Albania Primary Energy Production by Fuel (ktoe) – oil and hydro dominate

Electricity Market: Liberalization and Infrastructure

Since 2023 Albania has made notable strides in power market integration, but wholesale trading remains limited. A day-ahead market was launched in April 2023 and coupled with Kosovo* from January 2024 – the first cross-border market coupling in the Energy Community. Complementary regional intraday auctions (CRIDAs) between Albania and Kosovo* began in December 2024. (Plans for a continuous intraday market are pending.) The Albanian Power Exchange (ALPEX) operates these markets: by 2024 it had 26 registered participants, of which 16 trade intraday, and traded roughly 12% of Albania’s final electricity consumption on the day-ahead market.

However, full liberalization is unfinished. The day-ahead and intraday markets run in parallel with a traditional regulated market. The state-owned utility KESH still supplies universal service customers (low-voltage households) under a public service obligation (PSO) at government-set prices. Regulated tariffs and supply obligations extend to most small businesses and residential clients. Only customers on 10–110 kV networks (large industry) face market prices, with lower-voltage consumers still sheltered under universal service tariffs. Indeed, current regulations keep in place a PSO for KESH (originally a temporary crisis measure) and a supplier-of-last-resort (SoLR) regime for others. Retail prices for low-voltage consumers thus remain controlled (free market entry is limited), and new retail deregulation phases (10 kV by 2025, 6 kV by 2026) are planned. (These interventions still fall short of EU requirements.)

Balancing and ancillary services are developing along European lines. A 15-minute imbalance settlement period was introduced in 2025 (after delays). Balancing energy is procured via a merit-order market operated by OST (the national TSO). Cross-border balancing cooperation is currently minimal: Albania only shares frequency-restoration reserves with Kosovo* under a joint “AK block” agreement. Full participation in European balancing platforms will require transposing the EU Electricity Regulation (2019/943) and Network Code on balancing (2017/2195) – work that has only just begun.

On network infrastructure, the transmission system operator OST is certified (ownership unbundled) and a member of ENTSO-E, but key grid upgrades lag. The TEN-E revision (2022/869) – which would designate new energy corridors – has not been transposed. In the meantime, two grid projects of regional interest are under development: closing Albania’s internal 400 kV loop and a new 400 kV tie to Kosovo*, both backed by EU grants. Investment plans for OST and the DSO (OSSH) are now regularly approved by the regulator ERE; ERE also endorsed the 2025–27 capital plan of OST in 2025, which includes these projects. Distribution network upgrades (smart metering, loss reduction) remain on the agenda but face funding constraints.

[Insert chart: Albania Electricity Market Coupling Timeline (Day-ahead April 2023, coupling Jan 2024, CRIDAs Dec 2024)]

Gas Market: Emerging Supply and Infrastructure

Historically, Albania had no natural gas consumption; electricity and heating ran on oil and biomass. This is changing. Although no domestic gas market exists yet, Albania is transposing EU gas rules in anticipation. The regulator has applied REMIT transparency rules (excluding market rules). Certification under the Third Package is in place: TAP AG (cross-border pipeline) is certified as an exempt TSO, and Albgaz (Albania’s gas TSO) was conditionally certified under ownership unbundling. Albgaz’s remaining unbundling issues have been repeatedly extended (new deadline end-2025), and TAP and Albgaz plan separate network codes once pipelines operate.

Two key pipeline projects will shape Albania’s gas landscape. First, the TAP Fier exit point will link Albania to the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline. Construction is slated to start May 2026 and complete by October 2027. This facility (a pressure-reduction station and meter) will allow Azeri gas from TAP to enter Albanian networks. Second, the Korça Gasification Project – a private initiative by Azerbaijan’s SOCAR – will build a local grid from a new Fier (TAP) connection eastward. A 2024 MoU commits Albgaz and SOCAR to design and build the exit and local pipeline, with a TAP capacity nomination already in place. If realized (final investment decision pending), Korça would for the first time supply gas to industries and possibly power plants in southern Albania by the late 2020s.

Domestic gas demand is expected to grow once these are online (power plants and industry will switch from oil), but there is no wholesale gas trade yet. Secondary legislation to allow retail gas supply exists, but without an existing network to serve, these serve mainly as placeholders. In practice, Albania’s future gas wholesale is effectively TAP-dominated; a functioning national hub or trading platform is still years away.

Renewable Energy and Decarbonisation

Albania’s power system is already very green by global standards, but has room to diversify. In 2024 total renewable electricity capacity reached about 3,005 MW – dominated by small hydropower (<10 MW) at some 2,181 MW and utility-scale hydro (≈375 MW), with 449 MW of solar PV. (Wind and biogas are currently negligible: the report notes only 3 MW of wind.) Renewables supplied most of Albania’s generation in 2023 (hydro plus a modest biomass cogeneration), but exact shares are not broken out in the report. What is clear is that Albania’s 2030 renewables target is ambitious: the adopted National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) aims for 54.4% of final energy consumption from renewables by 2030, above the 52.0% goal set by the Energy Community Decision. The NECP also envisions sectoral sub-targets (e.g. ~178% for electricity, 34.6% transport, 16.6% heating/cooling) that exceed current EU RED II mandates.

Policy reforms are in motion to boost renewables. The 2023 Renewable Energy Law shifted from fixed feed-in tariffs to competitive auctions (contracts-for-difference/premium) for green power. Two auctions were already held with fixed prices, with plans to transition to pure CfDs once Albania’s day-ahead market achieves liquidity. So far no statistical transfers or joint schemes (EU cooperation mechanisms) have been used. Net metering is enabled (rooftop systems up to 500 kW) and Albania plans to move to net billing (full retail credit) as of 2024. The law also incorporated guarantees-of-origin (GOs) for all renewable generation: an electronic GO registry became operational under ERE in May 2023, laying groundwork for tracking clean energy. However, “renewable energy communities” are still theoretical – no community project has been set up yet.

In the heating sector, Albania is rolling out support for solar thermal collectors and heat pumps. A recent scheme reimburses 70% of solar water heater costs for low-income households (vs. 20–30% for other systems). Draft legislation for broader RES heating/cooling incentives is pending. On bioenergy, Albania has transposed most RED II provisions, but needs secondary rules for verifying sustainability (GHG savings and land-use criteria) for bioliquids and solid biomass used in heat and power.

Overall, the renewables pipeline is robust: capacity grew by +279 MW in 2024 (mostly PV additions). Auctions and net-billing should further drive solar rooftop uptake, especially for homes and businesses now escaping fixed feed-in tariffs. Hydropower will remain the backbone of Albania’s system; future small hydro additions and the potential for wind in the flat coastal plains (not yet tapped) could further diversify output.

Energy Efficiency and Buildings

Improving efficiency is a strategic priority. Albania’s buildings are its largest energy sink, consuming 38% of final energy in 2023. Recognizing this, in June 2025 Albania adopted a new Energy Performance of Buildings law, aligning key provisions with EU directives (including upcoming 2024 requirements). An Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) system is now operational, with ongoing training and software development. Crucially, a long-term renovation strategy (in line with the EU’s Renovation Wave) was approved in February 2025. The government is developing a detailed renovation plan to reduce building energy use, tackle energy poverty, and modernize housing and offices across Albania’s regions.

Albania’s energy consumption is already edging down. Primary energy use fell to 2,141 ktoe in 2023 (–1.5% year-on-year), while final consumption was 1,942 ktoe (–2.8%). For comparison, the 2030 NECP targets are much higher: 2,600 ktoe (primary) and 2,400 ktoe (final). The continuing decline reflects efficiency measures and structural changes. Energy intensity (use per GDP) is among the lowest regionally at ~0.17 ktoe/MEUR. Key upcoming measures include a new Energy Efficiency Law (planned in 2025 to transpose the recast EU EED), full implementation of the energy obligation scheme, and mandatory labelling and standards (a product-labeling law was passed in mid-2024). So far Albania lacks a dedicated EE fund; financing for retrofits has come from budgets and donor programs, with early ESCO activity in the housing sector. Improved access to credit and subsidies for vulnerable households are being discussed as next steps.

Policy, Regulation and EU Alignment

Albania’s legislative framework is being steadily updated to meet EU/EnC requirements, but gaps remain. The Electricity Integration Package (EIP) – the core EU rulebook for electricity markets – is not yet fully transposed. A draft law (May 2025) would implement many EIP provisions (market design, unbundling, RES integration, etc.), but it has not been passed. In the interim, ERE has adopted some CACM rules: a national capacity allocation & congestion management regulation (EUR 543/2013) was approved in April 2025. Albania also uses the SEE Regional Auction Office (SEE CAO) for cross-border capacity. Notably, the EU rule requiring at least 70% of interconnector capacity to be offered to the market is not in force yet.

In gas, Albania’s alignment is behind schedule. The EU’s Gas Security of Supply Regulation (2017/1938) is only partly implemented in law (via amendments to the 2021 Gas Law). A national Risk-Preparedness regulation (EU 2019/941) is due by end-2025; a draft Power Sector Law under discussion could designate the ministry as risk authority and mandate a preparedness plan. On emissions, Albania’s 2021 Law on Climate Change set up GHG inventories and MRV (monitoring/reporting) systems, and a new climate law (expected 2025) will refine MRVA obligations. However, Albania has no 2050 neutrality strategy yet – a critical missing piece. The Energy Community Secretariat notes this as an opportunity: the new climate law is a chance to embed a 2050 net-zero goal aligned with regional climate neutrality. Similarly, the EU’s new targets (at least –55% GHG by 2030 vs 1990) should be written into law; Albania’s NECP-included target of –53.2% by 2030 has yet to be codified.

Installed Renewable Energy Capacity by Type (MW, 2024) – large hydro vs small hydro vs solar

On renewables and energy, many EU directives are in place but not fully enforced. The transposition of RED II’s sustainability criteria for bioenergy remains incomplete (secondary rules are pending). The Energy Efficiency Directive’s Article 5/7 energy savings obligations are being revised (a new Energy Efficiency Law is expected in 2025). ERE, the energy regulator, is largely independent and well-funded (through fees), but it needs more capacity in market integration and surveillance. The Competition Authority and audit agencies are updating rules: notably, Albania’s competition law still lacks a ban on anti-competitive decisions by associations, a gap being addressed.

Challenges and Investment Opportunities

Challenges for Albania’s energy sector are many. The system is highly hydro-dependent, making it vulnerable to droughts (although the report does not quantify this risk, it is implicit). Hydropower output can swing year-to-year; in dry seasons Albania may import costly thermal power. The wholesale market is still tightly regulated: KESH’s PSO obligation and the tariff freeze for households suppress price signals. With only ~12% of demand traded on the exchange, liquidity and competition are low. Energy poverty is acute – in 2023, 34.8% of households fell behind on utility bills – and subsidies for low-income consumers cost the state ~€14.2 million per year (for under-300 kWh relief). Distribution losses remain high (the report’s chart shows ~27% of primary energy lost in losses and transformation). Regulatory delays (EIP, RED II, TEN-E) also pose risks: without quick reforms, Albania could be left out of key EU market frameworks. Finally, the lack of domestic fossil fuel resources (all oil is imported) means geopolitics still loom large.

Yet opportunities abound for investors. Albania’s grid needs modernization: the 400 kV ring and new interconnectors will unlock capacity and relieve bottlenecks. The Western Balkans Investment Framework (WBIF) and EU funds stand ready to de-risk these projects. On renewables, Albania has proven technology potential. Small hydropower already leads capacity, but solar PV has room to grow – rooftop solar in particular is financially attractive given high sunshine hours and net-billing rules. The successful launch of auctions means new wind and solar projects can seek investors. Albania also has significant wind potential along its Adriatic coast and offshore (noted by developers, though not yet realized).

In gas, early movers will find unique first-mover advantage. The imminent TAP exit point and new Korça pipeline will create an Albanian gas market where none exists. Gas-fired power plants (modern CCGTs) could then enter the mix to complement variable renewables and stabilize supply – currently discussions are underway for a planned new gas power plant (with a 2023 EIA completed). Domestic industries (steel, chemicals, cement) will benefit from cheaper and cleaner gas fuel.

The drive toward European integration is another driver. Albania’s commitment to join the EU means it can tap structural funds and grants (as the 400 kV and efficiency projects already do) to lower investment risk. The Regional Electricity Market (REM) in Southeast Europe is expanding; full day-ahead coupling with North Macedonia, Greece, and others is slated for the coming years through the IBWT process. Albanian power can thus access wider markets (raising price realization for producers). New balancing and reserve-sharing arrangements in the synchronous continental Europe grid could also enhance system stability.

Outlook (2025–2035)

Looking ahead 5–10 years, Albania’s energy transition will be shaped by how quickly reforms and investments are realized. If the EIP is transposed and markets liberalized, Albania could see a virtuous cycle: more foreign investment, deeper regional trading, and faster renewables rollout. The TAP exit (online ~2027) will mark a milestone – enabling real gasification of the economy and likely powering a switch away from oil in power and transport. The 400 kV grid projects (current timeline by 2030) will significantly improve domestic reliability and export capacity.

However, several risks remain. Climate variability poses growing uncertainty: reduced rainfall could lower hydropower generation, necessitating backup thermal plants or imports during dry spells. Delays in drafting the 2050 climate-neutrality strategy or failing to meet Energy Community targets could hinder access to green financing. Continued energy poverty and fiscal pressure from subsidies could constrain budgets for infrastructure. Geopolitical shocks (e.g. regional supply disruptions or price spikes) remain possible, underscoring the need for energy diversification.

On balance, Albania’s prospects are positive: an increasingly competitive energy mix is emerging. By 2030 Albania could comfortably meet its 54% renewables share and even push beyond with new solar and pumped hydro. Improved interconnections and market coupling will integrate Albania into the European grid both technically and economically. Enhanced efficiency in buildings and industry will moderate demand growth (the country’s 2030 NECP actually foresees higher consumption targets than today). This combination – rising renewables and efficiency gains – will bolster Albania’s sustainability, reduce emissions, and hedge fossil-fuel price risks.

In conclusion, the 2025 Energy Community Country Report highlights a period of transition for Albania: from a historically state-dominated, hydro-driven system towards a more liberalized, diversified, and EU-aligned energy economy. Achieving this vision will require sustained reform and investment. The payoff – in terms of economic competitiveness, cleaner air, and greater energy security – promises to be substantial for Albania and its regional partners.

Sources: Energy Community Secretariat, Albania – Annual Implementation Report, Nov. 2025